City shows support for supertall Midtown towers

Rendering of Midtown Manhattan skyline in 2030 (credit: VisualHouse) (inset: Carl Weisbrod)

The de Blasio administration expressed its support for the slew of supertall skyscrapers rising in Midtown Manhattan, responding to elected officials who have criticized the developments and called for measures like height limits and a moratorium on new towers.

The city has “no immediate plans to reduce the as-of-right density or bulk requirements” for such supertall developments, Carl Weisbrod, the director of the Department of City Planning, wrote in an August 12 letter.

Buildings exceeding or planning to exceed 1,000 feet in height — like Extell Development’s One57 condo and hotel tower and JDS Development and Property Markets Group’s 111 West 57th Street — have alarmed groups like the Municipal Art Society and Community Board 5’s Central Park Sunshine Task Force.

Concerns have even prompted a City Council bill that would create a task force to address shadows caused by the developments that are creeping deeper in Central Park, according to Crain’s.

While acknowledging concerns about the shadows and noting his department would continue to monitor the effects of supertall buildings, Weisbrod pointed to “the important role Midtown Manhattan plays in the city’s economy.”

He noted that the towers comply with laws governing density, with such developments distributing their square footage vertically instead of over the block – a move that can actually help preserve older buildings and lead to “a more interesting streetscape and pedestrian experience.” [Crains] – Rey Mashayekh

 

NYC’s Tallest Tower Outside of Manhattan Gets New Renders

queensplazapark.jpg[Queens Plaza Park. Rendering via 6sqft.]

Monday, August 17, 2015, by Evan Bindelglass

 

It’s been known for months that the new tallest building in New York City outside of Manhattan was being planned for right behind the now-landmarked Long Island City clock tower. Now, new renderings published by 6sqft give a better look at the design of the 915-foot-tall tower, known as Queens Plaza Park, that will be sandwiched between Bridge Plaza North and Northern Boulevard on 41st Avenue.

The residential building at 29-37 41st Avenue will encircle the 1927 clock tower, and will be at least 70 stories tall. The tower’s being developed by Property Markets Group and the Hakim Organization , and is designed by SLCE Architects (like just about everything else.) The building is slated to have 800 units and open in 2019.

Developer of huge Red Hook office complex seeks a partner with at least $100M

Milan-based Est4te Four is developing a 1.2 million-square-foot commercial project along the Brooklyn waterfront.

Photo: NBBJ
Rendering of Red Hook Innovation Studios.

The Italian company that has plans to develop a sprawling office complex along the Red Hook, Brooklyn, waterfront is seeking a partner willing to invest $100 million or more in the project.

Milan-based Est4te Four has hired Cushman & Wakefield, led by Bob Knakal, Cushman’s chairman of investment sales, to market a 49% stake in the development, called Red Hook Innovation Studios. When completed, the project would be the biggest block of newly constructed office space outside Manhattan to be available for rent. According to previous reports, Est4te Four plans to spend $400 million to create the five-building complex, which would total nearly 1.2 million square feet. The project likely will be built in phases over five years and could break ground next year, when leases at the existing properties on the site expire.

The developer, which also has projects in Los Angeles, London and Milan, spent about $61 million over the past three years assembling six adjacent properties located west of Ferris Street, from Coffey to Sullivan streets, in Red Hook. The sites are occupied by either warehouse properties or parking lots.

Est4te Four plans to preserve and restore 202 Coffey St., a two-story, approximately 170,000-square-foot warehouse that’s over 100 years old. The rest of the site would largely be rebuilt. The company is expected to erect four office buildings of up to seven stories. Est4te Four would also create park space, a promenade along the water and retail space at the base of the buildings.

Red Hook Innovation Studios will be designed to appeal to creative, fashion and tech businesses, which increasingly are calling Brooklyn home. Similar commercial destinations in the borough have been successful in drawing tenants. Just south of Red Hook, for instance, Industry City, a 6 million-square-foot collection of former industrial buildings in Sunset Park, has attracted big names like Time Inc.  Meanwhile, the owner of Dumbo Heights, a group of contiguous buildings joined by sky bridges in Dumbo, has nearly filled the complex with several tenants in recent months.

Near its big office project, the Italian company is in the process of converting a former six-story warehouse at 160 Imlay St. into a 70-unit luxury condominium. Patty LaRocco, a broker with Douglas Elliman who is handling sales for that project, said that more than 60 of the building’s units are in contract, with prices averaging more than $1,100 a square foot–among the highest ever netted for residential space in the neighborhood.

3 reasons why China had to devalue: Deutsche

3 reasons why China had to devalue: Deutsche

3 reasons why China had to devalue: Deutsche

Why Shake Shack is eating its rivals' lunch

Bad economic news just prior may be part of the reason why China took the steps it did on its currency, the renminbi. On August 8, China reported its exports fell 8.3% in July. Three days later, China loosened its hold on the currency, causing the yuan’s value to drop immediately.

At the start of the week, the price of a Chinese yuan (CNY/USD) was $0.161. By Friday, it was priced at $0.156, a drop of 3% to where it was trading three years ago.

According to Luke Oliver, U.S. Head of Capital Markets at Deutsche X-trackers, there are three reasons why China needed to devalue its currency.

“One might be the fact that its exports have become less competitive,” said Oliver. “Over the last year, we’ve seen that… China against a basket of currencies has actually strengthened 12% over the last year. That’s a pretty big headwind for Chinese exports.”

While goods are having a tougher time leaving China, it’s a different story with money, notes Oliver, whose team is responsible for three China ETFs in the U.S. with a combined $790 million in assets.

“Secondly, the strong Chinese renminbi seems to encourage outflows from China,” Oliver said. “We’ve seen capital outflows estimated to be about $35 billion per month this year. So perhaps weakening the renminbi will stem that outflow.”

A third reason for devaluation may also have to do with giving China a leading place among global currencies.

China wants the yuan to be part of the International Monetary Fund’s Special Drawing Rights (SDR) basket. Right now, just the U.S. dollar, the euro, the British pound and Japanese yen are in the SDR basket. Adding the yuan to the SDR basket would make China’s renminbi a global reserve currency. But the IMF wants China’s yuan to be more in line with the supply and demand forces of the markets.

“China is trying to work towards the liberalization of its currency that the IMF is looking for as it starts to consider whether China should be part of the SDR,” said Oliver.

He sees the devaluation benefiting Chinese equities in the long-term. In the past week, the Shanghai Composite Index (000001.SS) gained nearly 5%, though it is still 23% off from its all-time high of 5,166.35 set two months ago.

Two of the ETFs (ASHR and ASHS) Oliver’s group manages let U.S. investors buy into Chinese “A-shares,” a class of equities generally restricted to foreigners. A third one (CN) also includes Hong Kong “H-shares.”

“Anything that moves the currency back towards fair market value is a good thing,” said Oliver. “This is all representative of China supporting its economy by taking the action it needs to take. I think for Chinese stocks and Chinese investments this could be a good move.”

Paulson’s hedge fund starts selling land to reap gains in U.S. housing market

Since 2009, the firm’s funds have spent $770 million accumulating 35,000 lots.

Photo: Bloomberg
John Paulson’s firm is selling a bulk of its real estate holdings.

Hedge-fund manager John Paulson, who made billions wagering against subprime mortgages, has started to profit from a U.S. housing bet that took longer to ripen: owning land.

After acquiring about 35,000 lots since 2009, Paulson & Co. shifted toward selling last year and is accelerating its disposition pace, according to Michael Barr, who manages the firm’s real estate. Paulson’s funds had invested $770 million, mostly in lots bought out of bankruptcies or other distressed sales, and acquired two dozen communities in Arizona, California, Colorado, Florida and Nevada.

“The whole thesis here was that land was the best way to play the housing recovery, and that thesis seems to be playing out,” Mr. Barr said in a telephone interview from New York. “In a downturn, land is the hardest-hit real estate asset. Then, in the recovery phase of the cycle, as home prices appreciate, land values appreciate more.”

Paulson—whose lot holdings put the firm almost on par with the 10th-largest U.S. homebuilder—is planning to slowly sell parcels in some projects where prices have rebounded sharply, while holding on to other properties. He’s joining other large land buyers who are selling into a housing market constrained by lot shortages after almost a decade of anemic construction.

Builders replenishing land holdings are finding that prices for finished lots across the U.S. jumped 57% since the bottom in 2009, according to data from John Burns Real Estate Consulting. In some hard-hit markets where distressed properties lured investors, values have more than doubled in the past six years.

Earlier sellers

Paulson is starting to sell relatively late compared with other firms that bought land after the crash, and price gains are now moderating. His firm’s real estate funds have 10 years to return principal to investors after closing, according to a report prepared for California’s Contra Costa County Employees’ Retirement Association, which invested with Paulson.

“Their competitive advantage is their longer-term horizon,” said John Burns, a housing consultant based in Irvine, California, who has done work for Paulson. “They were able to bid on land that most people thought would take a long time to recover, so there were very few bids on it.”

Angelo Gordon & Co., a New York-based firm with $27 billion under management, has sold or optioned about 80% of the 14,000 lots it acquired from 2008 to 2012, according to Louis Friedel, vice president of real estate acquisitions. Starwood Land Ventures, a unit of Barry Sternlicht’s Starwood Capital Group, has sold about half of the 20,000 lots it acquired since 2007 in California, Florida, Arizona and Colorado, Chief Executive Officer Mike Moser said.

Land ‘convexity’

GTIS Partners, which spent about $1 billion since 2009 to buy more than 35,000 lots in 27 markets, has been selling for double or quadruple the price it paid, said CEO Tom Shapiro.

“Land has a lot of convexity to it,” Shapiro said in a telephone interview. “If home prices go up 5 or 10%, land prices can go up 20 or 30%. You have to be careful because it also works on the way down, which is how people got really hurt.”

The housing crash pushed many developers and landowners into bankruptcy, giving investors the opportunity to buy large, unfinished master-planned communities for distressed prices. In 2012, for example, Paulson paid $17 million, or 6% of the outstanding debt, for a post-bankruptcy acquisition of 875 acres (354 hectares) in Lake Las Vegas, Nevada, according to the Contra Costa pension fund report.

That’s less than $20,000 an acre in a market where homebuilders now typically pay $400,000 to $450,000 an acre, said Dennis Smith, CEO of Home Builders Research, a Las Vegas consulting firm. Not all of that increase would turn into profits, because much of the Lake Las Vegas land is set aside for open space and Paulson invested in improvements, such as restoring a golf course.

Slowing gains

Paulson may face risks as prices moderate. Finished lot prices, after jumping as much as 28% in 2013, increased just 2% in the first quarter from a year earlier, according to John Burns Real Estate Consulting. Homebuilders are cutting back on land purchases after “aggressively” spending from 2010 to 2013, Barclays Capital Inc. said in a note this week.

Wheelock Street Capital, which bought 24,000 lots starting around the same time as Paulson, has been a steady seller, said Dan Green, principal at the real estate private equity firm.

“We wanted to get in and buy and enjoy the recovery and not hold until the top” of the market, Mr. Green said.

Builder expansion in locations further from urban areas may fuel demand for the types of lots Paulson owns. The new-home market is expected to grow over the next two years, Susan Maklari, an analyst with UBS Group AG, said in a note to clients Wednesday.

“The housing market is in the process of moving to more volume-based growth, driven by the re-emergence of the entry- level buyer,” Ms. Maklari wrote. “This reflects increasing construction activity further in the periphery, where it is easier for supply to meet demand.”

Master-planned communities can take years to liquidate. Paulson’s first targeted disposition locations include Belmont and Triple Creek in the Tampa, Florida, area; Southshore at Aurora and Crystal Lake outside of Denver; and Lake Las Vegas.

“It’s not because it’s time to get out, but because you’ve got to start to sell these larger, longer-term assets,” Mr. Barr said. “We still think we’re mid-cycle in most of our markets.”

First Chinese, now Korean investors are buying up New York City real estate

As South Korea’s economy struggles, more funds seek higher returns outside of its country.

Photo: Buck Ennis
Korean investors are now eyeing New York real estate.

South Korea’s biggest funds are hoping to get returns from Manhattan eluding them in Seoul.

Korea Post is the latest money manager from the nation to set up shop in New York to find real estate, private equity and hedge fund investments and may hire more people, its U.S. representative Chuljoong Jurng said. It follows National Pension Service and Korea Investment Corp., which have similar offices, chasing better returns from global alternative assets amid low yields at home.

Four interest-rate cuts over the past year haven’t been able to revive South Korea’s economy, which is growing at the slowest pace in two years. The record-low benchmark has stifled returns on bonds, with the government’s 10-year yield shrinking to its lowest ever in April. National Pension Service helped buy a Swedish shopping mall this year, while Shinhan Life Insurance Co. and Hyundai Marine & Fire Insurance Co. helped underwrite a $220 million loan to buy a Manhattan office tower. The buying spree follows similar moves by Chinese investors to park their dollars in New York real estate.

“With the continued low interest rates, it’s inevitable we’ll need to increase alternative investments to boost returns,” Mr. Jurng said. “As our assets under management keep growing, it’s become more important to get access to information and global investment trends for higher returns.”

Global hunt

State-run Korea Post, which oversees 106 trillion won ($89 billion), wants to diversify from stock and bond investments into other sorts of assets, Mr. Jurng said. He expects the new Manhattan office to improve deal sourcing and global research capabilities to help find such opportunities abroad.

Stocks and bonds are less reliable as hedges against each other, according to Kim Eun Gie, a Seoul-based alternative investments analyst at NH Investment & Securities Co. While the securities’ prices have usually been negatively correlated, they’re now moving in unison due to global monetary easing and that’s curbing the effects of diversifying, he said.

Korea’s asset managers have taken note. Their real estate holdings have surged 38% since the end of 2013 to 33.6 trillion won, Korea Financial Investment Association data show. Private equity funds raised 51.2 trillion won at the end of 2014 compared with 44 trillion won a year earlier, according to Korea’s Financial Supervisory Service.

“There aren’t enough alternative assets at home, forcing investors to look abroad,” NH Investment’s Kim said. “Unlike bonds or stocks, alternative investments are typically private, so it’s become essential to open overseas offices to broaden access to information.”

Getting older

Combined assets under management at Korea’s life insurance companies have almost doubled to 537 trillion won as of March 31 over the last five years as people save for retirement. By 2060, the elderly—defined as anyone over 65-years old—will make up 40 percent of the population, Statistics Korea data show.

Alternatives were the best-performing asset class last year for National Pension Service, South Korea’s biggest investor with 470 trillion won of assets. They returned 12.5%, which compared with a 5.25% overall gain. The fund plans to boost holdings of such assets to 11.5% by the end of next year from 9.9% at the end of 2014, it said in June.

National Pension Service, which has both London and New York offices, will also officially open a Singapore location in September to find Asian alternative opportunities, spokeswoman Hwang Ji Hye said.

Big role

“Overseas offices are playing a role in gathering new information and looking for valuable investment opportunities,” said Mr. Hwang. “We’ve been preparing for opening an office in Asia following the New York and London offices to build a strong overseas network.”

Korea Investment Corp., the nation’s $85 billion sovereign wealth fund, plans to almost double its share of alternative investments to 15% by year-end from 8% currently, and aims for 50% over the next five years, Chairman Ahn Hongchul said last month. Ahn expects longer-term returns of at least 10% if holdings rise above half of the portfolio.

It also operates in New York and London, where the focus is on both conventional and alternative assets. The fund plans to send more people from Seoul to those offices, largely to help assess alternative opportunities, said a company official.

“While stocks and bonds are financial assets, alternative assets are real investment, hedging against possible inflation going forward,” NH Investment’s Kim said. “To diversify investment portfolios and boost returns, the alternative investment would be an answer.

Schumer proposes plan for Hudson River rail tunnels

A dispute over funding has kept officials from getting started on a massive project increasingly seen as essential and urgent.

Two more massive projects planned for Astoria

The housing developments, on seven areas of Queens waterfront, will also fill in some of the missing pieces of a greenway.

Vornado weighs residential conversion of 20 Broad St.

The real estate investment trust may convert the office building into residential but before it can do so it would need to buy the 27-story tower.

Photo: CoStar Group Inc.
20 Broad St. could be converted to residential.

One of the city’s largest commercial landlords is mulling a residential project in lower Manhattan.

Vornado Realty Trust, which owns more than two dozen office properties in the city, is considering a residential conversion of either a portion or all of the 27-story, 473,000-square-foot downtown office building at 20 Broad St.

Sources familiar with the decision say Vornado may still choose to maintain the property as an office building rather than repurpose it as apartment space, which would likely cost tens of millions of dollars to create.

Vornado is exploring options for the property because, according to recent reports, the building’s biggest office tenant, the New York Stock Exchange, which leases nearly 400,000 square feet, is set to leave next year.

However, converting the property into residential won’t be easy. It may be difficult to lay out the building’s lower floors, which are larger than the spaces at the top of the tiered property, for apartments, sources said. An even bigger hurdle is the building’s complex ownership structure.

The New York Stock Exchange used to both own and occupy 20 Broad St.. Several years ago it ground leased the property to Vornado, while still remaining a tenant at the building.

Residential condo units are difficult to sell in ground-leased properties because the building’s ownership eventually reverts back to the owner of the ground. Apartment buyers are wary of that arrangement because it means their units will not be theirs in perpetuity and the land may also become less valuable as the ground lease nears expiration.

But now that NYSE is leaving 20 Broad, Vornado could purchase the building outright from NYSE and pursue the conversion. Some say Vornado could tear the existing building down and erect a new residential tower in its place.

Several owners have converted downtown office buildings into residential space or erected apartments from the ground up. Alchemy Properties, for instance, is converting the upper floors of the Woolworth Building into luxury apartments. And last week,  Chinese firm Oceanwide Holdingsreached a deal to purchase 80 South St., a development site that can accommodate a 1,000-foot tall tower with residential space.

Though Vornado is predominantly an owner of office and retail, the firm also has built high-end residential space. The company is developing one of the highest profile condo projects in the city, a nearly 1,000-foot tall tower with soaring Central Park views at 220 Central Park South. Vornado revealed in a recent earnings call that it has sold $1.1 billion worth of apartments in just a few weeks of opening the property to the market.